Ingo Böbel

 

Macroeconomics (ECON 2002)

Page history last edited by Ingo Böbel 6 days ago

 IUM-MBA is ranked number 37 worldwide in 2008!! See THE ECONOMIST's "WHICH MBA" ranking:

 

http://mba.eiu.com/index.asp?layout=2002rankings 


2009  Nobel Prize in Economics

 

Oliver Willamson and Elinor Ostrom will share the sum of 1.4 million dollars or 10 million Swedish kronor as they have been jointly honored as the recipient of 2009 Nobel Prize in the field of Economics. The Nobel Prize Committee has honored the two economists of the United States for their outstanding achievement in their respective fields.

In a speech, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences in Stockholm, stated that Elinor Ostrom has given the demonstration on the ways by which the associations can make use of the common property. Referring to Oliver Willamson’s works, the Academy stated he has, “developed a theory where business firms serve as structures for conflict resolution.” Nobel laureate Elinor Ostrom and Oliver E. Williamson will now share the stand with other world famous economists who had received the Nobel Prize in the past years. Oliver E. Williamson was a professor at California Berkley University. The other recipient of the same award Elinor Ostrom is a professor of Indiana University.

Read: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=economics-nobel-highlight 


 

Amazon.com Widgets


 

 

 

Course Syllabus Fall 2009:

 

                                            For details see course syllabus: Syll Fall 2009.docx

 

Final Exam Date: December 8, 2009 from 9 am to 12 pm Room 35


 

Thesis advice

(for those of you who might consider to choose a subject in Economics see this interesting site from Harvard University):

http://www.economics.harvard.edu/files/ThesisLogistics10.pdf

 

 


 

 

A new alternative to GDP (2009)

 

The gross domestic product is a poor way to measure economic health, since it ignores the benefits of unpaid work and incentivizes some social problems, say Nobel Prize-winning economists Joseph Stiglitz and Amartya Sen. They led a panel that produced a report for the French government on alternatives to the GDP, suggesting that countries file annual reports the way corporations do, measuring their health along several different lines. While growth would still be part of the picture, so would measures of health, happiness and community interaction. TIME (source: smartbrief)


 

News from "The Undercover Economist" (Tim Harford): http://www.slate.com/id/2189312/

 

Great Depression: http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/GreatDepression.html


 

FT (April 21, 2008): "Put this crisis into historical perspective"

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7c656e4c-0fcf-11dd-8871-0000779fd2ac.html?nclick_check=1

 


 

Really astonishing! Read this on "Europe's Philosophy of Failure": http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=4095&print=1

 


 

 

Read the Brookings interview on the discussion on Poverty and  "Rising Food Prices":

http://www.brookings.edu/interviews/2008/0423_food_prices_kharas.aspx?emc=lm&m=215060&l=62&v=16218

 

Read Martin Wolf on Rising Food Prices! http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2e5b2f36-1608-11dd-880a-0000779fd2ac.html 


 

Read The Economist-Article http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=E1_NSNQJVQ on

"The Costs of Living"

 

Read how the CPI is constructed: http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/boskinrpt.html#cpi3

 

Does the CPI understate inflation? Read this 2008-article on the CPI: http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2008/08/art1full.pdf

 

Read in B. DeLong www.j-bradford-delong.net/macro_online/ms/ch5/del28487_ch05.pdf (History of Economic Growth)

 

Consumer Price Index for France: http://www.insee.fr/en/themes/indicateur.asp?id=29&type=1&page=indic_cons.asp

 


 

Interesting interview with J. Riffkin on "The Third Industrial Revolution":

http://www.euractiv.com/en/energy/jeremy-rifkin-europe-lead-third-industrial-revolution/article-170005 (Jan 31, 2008)

 


 

Read :"Women at work": http://www.dallasfed.org/research/eclett/2007/el0705.html

 


 

Read about the Big Mac Index  http://www.economist.com/markets/indicators/displaystory.cfm?story_id=E1_RGQJDDV 

from

 

Does freer trade help the poor? Read: http://www.economist.com/finance/economicsfocus/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11453701

 

Human Development Index 2009:

http://www.economist.com/research/articlesBySubject/PrinterFriendly.cfm?story_id=14582820


On Productivity and Productivity Differences (ILO Study):

http://www.ilo.org/public/english/employment/strat/kilm/download/kilm18.pdf

 


 

Read this interesting article by Martin Wolf on "Economic Growth" (FT, June 3, 2008): http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/616526bc-3178-11dd-b77c-0000779fd2ac.html?nclick_check=1 

 

Read article on tax burdens around the globe: The Economist http://www.economist.com/daily/chartgallery/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10835581

 

News on Growth in China: http://www.ft.com:80/cms/s/0/6ae840de-a9d7-11dd-958b-000077b07658.html (Nov. 5, 2008)


 

Nov. 6, 2008: There is no agreed definition of a GLOBAL RECESSION:

http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12553076

 

Nov. 30, 2008: What is a recession? See:On the definition of a recession.docx 

http://atom.monaco.edu/IUMgeneral/Library/Links/On_the_definition_of_a_recession(Bobel).pdf


 

On BUSINESS CYCLES: an excellent article is http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/BusinessCycles.html (Ch. Romer)

 

Here is an important NBER-site: http://www.nber.org/. Subscribe to the NBER Digest 

Here you find data on business cycles: http://www.nber.org/cycles.html

Another authority on business cycles: http://www.businesscycle.com/home/ 

Watch the business cycle clock:

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/BCC/xdis_en.html?country1=eu27&country2=us&une=true&gdp=true&con=true&ppi=true&emp=true&imp=true&exp=true&pi=true&pc=true&inv=true&esi=true&tov=true

 

How does it work? See: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page?_pageid=3193,72288495&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL


Here are summary statistics for the Euro-area (graphs) plus international trends from the Fed Res Bank of  St. Louis:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/iet/euro/euro.pdf

 


 

 

 

Course Readings and Other Links:

 
Educational website from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: http://www.newyorkfed.org/education/econ_eduforall.html
 Many of the Federal Reserve Banks have significant educational outreach programs, and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is no exception. Their "Financial Education for All" site produces a wide range of publications and fact sheets that are designed for the general public and for students of financial services, economics, and related fields. These documents are divided into sections that include "Banking", "Federal Reserve System", "Foreign Exchange", and "Home Ownership". Perhaps the most useful area is the "Monetary and Fiscal Policy" section, which includes documents such as "Understanding the Federal Budget", "U.S. Monetary Policy and Financial Markets", and a helpful overview of how open market operations function. Finally, visitors can also sign up for their RSS feed and contact members of their educational outreach team. (source: scout report)
EconStats
 

http://www.econstats.com/index.htm

 

For anyone looking for a vast cornucopia of economic statistics culled from all over the world, they need look no further than the EconStats website. The homepage is a bit visually cluttered, but one couldn't ask for better and more complete data, as visitors can quickly access a wide range of economic data from the United States, such as information about inflation, unemployment levels, productivity, new factory orders, and the price of crude oil. The homepage also contains links to economic data from Canada, Britain, Germany, the European Union, France, Italy, Russia, and China. On the right-hand side of the page, visitors can click through to interest rates for dozens of countries, check in on various stock markets, and look up commodity and futures prices. Those individuals looking for quick help with pressing questions can post queries to the "Econ Chat" section of the homepage.

 


NEW

 

MACROECONOMIC DATA  SERIES  FOR THE UNITED STATES

 

One of the best sources is obtainable from the Fed. Reserve Bank of St. Louis called "Federal Reserve Economic Data": http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/

Detailed macro data are available from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA): http://www.bea.gov/

Labour market data (and much more) are collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): http://bls.gov/

See also: www.briefing.com or www.economagic.com

 

For up-to-date economic statistics and figures see the monthly ECONOMIC INDICATORS published by the CEA available at: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/indicators/index.html

 

For another excellent macroeconomic data collection-set see: http://www.eurointelligence.com/Links.953.0.html

 

EU interactive guide to data sources:

The Telegraph website has a useful interactive guide to a selection of data on member countries inside the European Union. Our chart shows indices for GDP and there is also information the allocation of EU spending by country, population size and density.  

 

 

Here you find a list of my favorite statistical resources on the Web:

 

Penn World Table, index.mht

 

Census Bureau Home Page.mht

 

Economagic Economic Time Series Page.mht

 

Asian Development Bank (ADB).mht

 

Economic Report of the President Main Page.mht

 

Emerging Markets Industry Stats.mht

 

Inter-American Development Bank.mht

 

National Bureau of Economic Research.mht

 

OAS - Organization of American States.mht

 

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.mht

 

The World Bank.mht

 

The World Factbook.mht

 

U_S_ Agency for International Development.mht

 

United Nations.mht

 

US Bureau of Labor Statistics.mht

 

World Tables of Economic and Social Indicators.mht

 

WTO website.mht 


 

Web Pages:

Podcasts and Blogs:

Here you find an interesting set of papers on "Growth and Income Distribution" (EU): http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication_summary12676_en.htm

 

Ben Bernanke on Milton Friedman's 90th Birthday: http://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/2002/20021108/default.htm

 


 

 

IF YOU THINK THAT "ECONOMICS" IS NOT FUNNY - THEN HAVE A LOOK AT YORAM BAUMAN'S WEBSITE: http://www.standupeconomist.com/

 


 

For excellent macroeconomic data collection-sets see: http://www.eurointelligence.com/Links.953.0.html

 


 

 

You find an online edition of J. M. Keynes' "General Theory" here:

The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money by John Maynard Keynes.mht

 

 

 J. M. Keynes

 

 

 

Interesting! M. Friedman's essay on J.M. Keynes' contributions: John Maynard Keynes. FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND. Economic Quarterly, Spr. 1997 - p. 1-24. http://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedreq/y1997isprp1-24.html

 

The Bretton Woods Agreement: http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/decade/decad047.htm

 

Martin Wolf "What we can learn from Keynes..." FT Dec. 23, 2008: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/be2dbf2c-d113-11dd-8cc3-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1

 

A. W. Phillips' original article "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957", Economica 25 (100), 283–299 (which laid the foundation for the Phillips curve) can be read here:

http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1468-0335.1958.tb00003.x

J. C. Fuhrer: The Phillips Curve is Alive and Well! http://www.bos.frb.org/economic/neer/neer1995/neer295c.htm

 

See this 2007-article on the Phillips Curve: Inflation and Unemployment: A Layperson's Guide to the Phillips Curve

 

The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2007/el2007-35.html

 

E S Rosengren "Empirical Questions in Modeling Inflation and Understanding the Implications for Policy on the Phillips Curve" (June 10,  2008): http://www.bos.frb.org/news/speeches/rosengren/2008/061008.htm

 

 

Adam Smith's first important book "The Theory of Moral Sentiments" can be read here : http://www.econlib.org/library/Smith/smMS.html

 

Adam Smith published the famous book "An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations" in 1776. It shows that the wealth of a nation lies not in the amount of gold in its treasury, but in the productive enterprise of its people. It argues for an end to restrictions on trade, competition and commerce. Highly influential, the book laid the intellectual foundations of the great Nineteenth-Century era of liberal free trade.

You can perform a full text search within "The Wealth of Nations", or pick a chapter from the index.

Source:Adam Smith Institute at http://www.adamsmith.org/smith/won/wonsearch/

 

New Paper on A. Smith by E. Butler: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1003359

 


 

 

You can read John Stuart Mill, Principles of Political Economy, here: http://econlib.org/Library/Mill/mlP1.html#Bk.I,Ch.I

 


 

Friedrich Engels: http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1880/soc-utop/index.htm

 


 

Great Social Theorists
 

http://www.faculty.rsu.edu/~felwell/Theorists/Four/index.html

 

Professor Frank W. Elwell's list of great social theorists brings together Karl Marx, Herbert Spencer, Max Weber, Emile Durkheim and other intellectual heavyweights. The purpose of bringing together these luminaries and their writings is "to promote greater understanding of classical macro-social theory." Professor Elwell has devoted sections to each of these authors, and several others, including Auguste Comte and W.E.B. Dubois. In each section, visitors can read selections from their major works and also click through to other relevant online resources. Finally, visitors can also learn about Professor Elwell's own scholarly endeavors, including his book "Macrosociology: Four Modern Theorists". (SR)

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I strongly recommend to read : www.ft.com at least five days a week

and every week http://www.economist.com/index.html

 

You can order the FT electronically at:

 

https://www.financialtimes.net/cgi-bin/eudev.cgi/fess/fromTeaser

Contact the FT and ask for a cheaper student subscription!

 

 

 

BigMac-Index see: http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9448015

 

 

 

 

Worth reading! Angus Maddison on the history of Macroeconomics:   Contours of the World Economy, 1-2030 AD

Economic Development and Growth: If you lived 100 years ago: http://www.amazon.com/You-Lived-100-Years-You/dp/0590960016/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1/105-6805129-2610851?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1190999857&sr=1-1

 

K. J. Arrow's book review of A. Sen: Poverty and Famines: http://sites.wiwiss.fu-berlin.de/collier/SocPolWS03/arrow_on_sen.pdf

 

 

 

 

Interesting information on Milton Friedman: http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/f/milton_friedman/index.html?inline=nyt-per

 

 

HOW TO CALCULATE GDP?

 

Read: Landefeld/Seskin/Fraumeni: Taking the Pulse of the Economy: Measuring GDP,

The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2008, Vol 22, No. 2, pp. 193-216

 

 

A  National Income Accounting Puzzle: From Greg Mankiws Blog:

Read http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/inflation-low-because-oil-prices/story.aspx?guid=%7bF29A8D00-50E5-44D6-9981-0E54430C3A96%7d&print=true&dist=printTop

 

"Teachers of undergraduate macro could hand out the article and ask students: Is national income accounting as counterintuitive as this article makes it seem?

 

My suggested answer: No.

 

The article makes a lot out of the fact that imports are subtracted to get GDP. That is true, but there is nothing odd about it.

 

Recall the identity:

 

Y = C + I + G + X - M.

 

Imports M are subtracted to obtain domestic production Y because they are already included in consumption C, investment I, or government purchases G.

 

To me, it is not especially illuminating to say that inflation is low because imported oil prices are surging. A better description is more prosaic. The prices of domestically produced goods are rising more slowly than the prices of imported goods. So the GDP deflator, which reflects the prices of domestic goods, is rising more slowly than price indexes that include imports.

 

The national income accounting here is straightforward and unobjectionable. The more interesting question is which measure of the inflation rate policymakers, such as those at the Fed, should be focused on."

 

 

 

 

 

R. Lowenstein's interesting profile on Ben Bernanke: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/20/magazine/20Ben-Bernanke-t.html?_r=1&ex=1358226000&en=de87a47b438cbc15&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss&pagewanted=all&oref=slogin

 

 

 

 

Read P. Krugman's comment on "Trouble with Trade" (NYT, Dec. 28, 2007): 

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/28/opinion/28krugman.html?_r=1&ex=1356584400&en=502cb187aec80250&ei=5090&partner=rssuserland&emc=rss&oref=slogin

Read on "tax burdens around the globe": http://www.economist.com/daily/chartgallery/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10835581

 

Here is a list of interesting papers on FISCAL MULTIPLIERS (source: The Economist)

http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14444153


2009: Finland tops the global prosperity index:

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/54fd57dc-c18c-11de-b86b-00144feab49a.html?nclick_check=1

FT, Oct. 26, 2009 


 

 

Read about John Taylor: (Taylor Rule): http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2008/03/people.htm

 


 

Fed101 is one of the best educational sites (Federal Reserve Bank):

http://www.federalreserveeducation.org/fed101/index.htm?CFID=1211065&CFTOKEN=31357651


 

NEW: Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices Eurostat/Oct. 2008:

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-QA-08-043/EN/KS-QA-08-043-EN.PDF 


 

Nov. 21, 2008 - An excellent "must read" on US productivity (from The Economist):

http://www.economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12637160


Here you find data on MINIMUM WAGES for EU countries and the US:

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-SF-08-105/EN/KS-SF-08-105-EN.PDF


Free Economic Data: http://www.economy.com/freelunch/default.asp


D. J. Boudreaux, Comparative Advantage: http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/ComparativeAdvantage.html


Here's a link to a 1948 audio interview with the great H.L. Mencken -- "perhaps the most insightful American ever to put ink to paper". (Source: Cafe Hayek, 26.5.2009)


OECD Factbook eXplorer

http://stats.oecd.org/oecdfactbook/

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has partnered with Linköping University to create this rather powerful analytical tool which they call the OECD Factbook eXplorer. First-time visitors can start using the site by going over to the "Dashboard" area on the right-hand side of the page and clicking one of the thematic "stories". These "stories" contain brief introductions to several key issues: labor market policies and labor participation fertility. Visitors can read through these themes to learn about the scatter plot screen, the time-series data, and the interactive map on the far left-hand side of the screen. After that, visitors can use the "Indicators" tab on the top of the homepage to load up one of the data files from the OECD and display it via the interactive map and the scatter plot screen. There's also a "Help" feature that can help users navigate the various options presented on this site. Overall, the eXplorer site will take time getting used to, but it will be most useful to policy analysts and others with an interest in development issues.(from Scout Report) 


OECD: Policy Briefs [pdf]

http://www.oecd.org/findDocument/0,3354,en_2649_201185_1_119696_1_1_1,00.html


For a list of papers on MULTIPLIER THEORY see:

http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14444153


 

Here is a  series of nine videos on different aspects of central banking in the euro area.

 

 

About the ECB

History

Role and tasks

Monetary policy strategy

Monetary policy instruments

Governing bodies

Independence, accountability and international relations

Euro banknotes and coins

Still growing

 


 

 

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